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November 2014 NPD (U.S. Hardware) Predictions - Closes December 9th

R

Rosur

Member
Will give this a go doubt I'll be close though:

[360] 120k
[3DS] 280k
[PS3] 70k
[PS4] 1100k
[WIU] 230k
[XB1] 1200k
 
B

Bad_Boy

time to take my meds
I usually ignore these threads. But ill be watching this one for sure.

No predictions from me. Just heavy breathing.
 
K

Kayant

Member
Chobel said:
Amazon best sellers for November:

#3 XB1 AC bundle Kinectless
#17 PS4 GTA V bundle (out of stock now)
#20 PS4 (Default SKU)
#53 XB1 AC Bundle with Kinect
#65 PS4 Destiny bundle
#70 XB1 COD:AW bundle

http://www.amazon.com/gp/bestsellers/2014-11/videogames?tag=viglink20241-20#1
Click to expand...

Damn! GTA V Bundle sold a shitton. Looks like a win for XB1 if amazon is right again and PS4 not too behind maybe?

Will change later have no clue how nov sales usually are.

[360] 300k
[3DS] 700k
[PS3] 200k
[PS4] 890k
[WIU] 350k
[XB1] 1020k

Expecting MS to give us numbers this month.
 
R

Road

Member
[360] 332K
[3DS] 555K
[PS3] 222K
[PS4] 777K
[WIU] 333K
[XB1] 888K

There had better be black friday press releases with numbers next week.
 
B

Blanquito

Member
Looking at Amazon's numbers, and based off of past months where PS4 was ranked around 8 and Xboxone had two SKUs in the thirties and the end results were within 150k (I think; I'll edit/update this comment later when I have more time to look at the past data), I want to say Xboxone wins but by a very small amount.

Though as of this post there's still one more day of tracking that needs to appear on Amazon's monthly sales chart (right?).
 
Duxxy3

Duxxy3

Member
[360] 285k
[3DS] 435k
[PS3] 185k
[PS4] 700k
[WIU] 325k
[XB1] 950k

These are not my final numbers. Sony stocked the hell out of stores on black friday.
 
P

Poeton

Member
Blanquito said:
Looking at Amazon's numbers, and based off of past months where PS4 was ranked around 8 and Xboxone had two SKUs in the thirties and the end results were within 150k (I think; I'll edit/update this comment later when I have more time to look at the past data), I want to say Xboxone wins but by a very small amount.

Though as of this post there's still one more day of tracking that needs to appear on Amazon's monthly sales chart (right?).
Click to expand...

I think it will be a statistical tie.
 
F

ferrasvansen

Member
This is tough to call I'm going with....

[360] 190k
[3DS] 350k
[PS3] 130k
[PS4] 800k
[WIU] 280k
[XB1] 950k

I haven't been close maybe this month will do it for me.
 
Duxxy3

Duxxy3

Member
Begaria said:
Oh, it's only got half of the Black Friday weekend in it. December should also be interesting.
Click to expand...

December depends entirely on stock. You know that Microsoft will be stuffing the U.S. channels after black Friday, but will Sony divert enough from Europe to keep up? Will the GTA/TLOU bundle be available? Will it still be $399?
 
F

Final Verdict

Member
will probably edit later

[360] 275K
[3DS] 450K
[PS3] 125K
[PS4] 980K
[WIU] 325K
[XB1] 1150K

My prediction for the top 10 games (Combined SKUs):

1.)CoD: AW
2.)GTAV
3.)Farcry4
4.)AC Unity
5.)Dragon Age Inquizition
6.)SSB (Wii U)
7.)Pokimon AS
8.)Pokimon OR
9.)SOM
10)Halo MCC
 
A

Aquamarine

Member
I'm going to send donny2112 the comprehensive new releases list in a little bit. There were a LOT of games released in November so it's taking me a while to write it.
 
Duxxy3

Duxxy3

Member
spatenfloot said:
The 3ds predictions are wildly varying this month.
Click to expand...

Not sure what's going on with the low predictions. Nintendo handhelds sell at least half of their yearly stock in November/December. I was going to go even higher, but then I saw all of the unsold black Friday stock.
 
Hikami

Hikami

Member
First time trying this, NPD results for this month actually interest me..

[360] 220k
[3DS] 650k
[PS3] 135k
[PS4] 950k
[WIU] 400k
[XB1] 1000k
 
T

Ty4on

Member
Duxxy3 said:
Not sure what's going on with the low predictions. Nintendo handhelds sell at least half of their yearly stock in November/December. I was going to go even higher, but then I saw all of the unsold black Friday stock.
Click to expand...
Yeah, but sales have to increase by more than 400%. Anyone know of the biggest BF sales for it? I should have payed more attention :(
 
H

HabeeNo

Member
My first time predicting rather than just following :D

[PS4] 650K
[XB1] 800K
[Wii U] 300K
[360] 100K
[PS3] 70K

Would love to see the PS4 to take it again, but the $70 differential on bundles is too fierce.
 
T

theprodigy

Member
Duxxy3 said:
Not sure what's going on with the low predictions. Nintendo handhelds sell at least half of their yearly stock in November/December. I was going to go even higher, but then I saw all of the unsold black Friday stock.
Click to expand...

3DS January-October 2014 total: 1242k

not exactly very inspiring, and considering that 3DS seems to consistently perform better in December than November, well...

(though idk what's up with the ~300k level predictions either)

Duxxy3 said:
Would be one of the more disastrous YoY performances to go from over 1m to <300k.
Click to expand...

3DS was at 770k for November 2013, you're thinking of December
 
Duxxy3

Duxxy3

Member
theprodigy said:
3DS January-October 2014 total: 1242k

not exactly very inspiring, and considering that 3DS seems to consistently perform better in December than November, well...

(though idk what's up with the ~300k level predictions either)
Click to expand...

Would be one of the more disastrous YoY performances to go from over 1m to <300k.
 
B

Bgamer90

Banned
111989_o_zpsca7c6de8.gif~original


"It's the big one!"

[XB1] 780K
[PS4] 715K
[WIU] 300K
[3DS] 500K
[360] 250K
[PS3] 150K
 
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