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NPD Sales Results for November 2014 [Up3: NPD Data Error, AC:U #5]

hawk2025

Member
I was just about to type that NPD does not include games sold in a bundle then remembered there was no MCC bundle. Damn.



Since the Wal-Mart MCC "bundle" was not really a bundle, I assume it would count?


The collection is underperforming by any measure I can think of.
 

EatMyFace

Banned
I am absolutely shocked right now. Its a statistical tie, really.
All those heavy discounts, bundles and free Gamez. All that and it barely edged out the PS4. I'm temped to go and pick out some posts from the Anecdotal Black Friday thread just for the LOLs.
 

Vyrance

Member
Well, at least the WiiU sold more this November than last year. So at least it has that going for it. I think more people will start to gravitate toward the system as they notice great games continue coming to the system.

I'm not surprised that PS4 numbers were close to Xbone numbers (we believe so far anyway.) It's the Christmas season and more PS4s were shipped than Xbone's, at least that's what people reported. Only makes sense that PS4 would catch up after the Xbone's surge on Black Friday.

Looks like all three companies can take some positives out of November sales.
 
This is what I don't get. They were getting creamed worldwide, but they were not that far off in the states. These deals were like firesales. Not sure what it is they will do to deal with Sony's Q1 momentum in 2015.
I don't get it either, the X1 was selling at a healthy pace but apparently Microsoft can't stand being second.
 

Kysen

Member
Wow Ubsoft got wrecked. Guess thats why they cancelled the season pass, had to make amends asap or risk further bombas.
 

Amir0x

Banned
You're still assuming that their goal is to beat the PS4. I think PS4 sales a useful barometer of market activity, but outselling it isn't vital. They see that the market is willing to buy more consoles because the PS4 is selling very well, so they lower the price to capitalize on that demand. They don't need to beat the PS4 to be successful, just keep close to it on a month-by-month basis.

Consider:

Phil Spencer said:
"We shipped at the same time and we're in direct competition with the PS4," he admits. "I'm not going to duck that. I want to win. I want to win this generation, but I want to win more than I want the other guy to lose. I own a PS4, and it's not like I want it to get dusty or not have games. But I do want to sell a lot of Xbox Ones, and for many people that's a direct competition with the PS4. As the Xbox team, we are the underdog."

The primary objective is of course to profit, but it's not like the Xbox brand has historically been particularly profitable. It's why the Xbox division is constantly under such scrutiny in the internal debates going on at Microsoft between divisions.

So, the question is:

Were the number of overall sales Xbox One had for November sufficiently large enough to offset the profit margin decrease required to sell the system at the price it was at most retailers?

We know they are not going to be very happy with the solidification of their second place status for the rest of the generation. But whether that disappointment can be muted somewhat by at least a decent profit margin is yet to be seen.

Then the implications for the future are clear:

1. PS4 is almost certain to win December NPD now.
2. Xbox One is devalued at market in consumer eyes; hard to rise price again and expect to do well.
3. Means over the longer term they're going to have to sell significantly more units month-over-month to make the XBO venture very profitable when you factor in entire cost of R&D and to-market considerations.
4. Means almost certainly PS4 is going to continue to dominate month after month going forward, with this blip being a rare exception (and just barely, you're not closing any gaps at this rate).
 

Chobel

Member
I feel like there needs to be some perspective here. It would mean they couldn't plausibly win the generation, but the overall stats for XBO still paint it as a very healthy console on track to outsell the X360 worldwide. I don't think "fucked" would be a fair way to describe the situation they're in, except in the very narrow sense that their ability to come first place would be torpedoed. PS4 and XBO are both seemingly filling the void left by the WiiU's total failure to follow-up on the Wii's success.

I thought Sony GAF of all people should be used to explaining how the PSP wasn't an overall failure just because the DS was a mega-success.

( ͡°╭͜ʖ╮͡° )

I don't think anyone even MS believe that's gonna happen. But I agree with you overall, Xbox One can (and hopefully will) be a successful product.
 
They clearly don't want to do this though. Look at Kirby and the Rainbow Curse and Amiibo. They're trying to create more software to convince people of the value of the Gamepad but it's just not working.

I think they just really need to focus on making sure that their next hardware is as good as it can be at this point.

I think hanging onto that anchor will be the biggest problem. I could be wrong, but a $200 Mario Kart 8 machine with two controllers would fucking destroy at retail.

Make it optional.. they have to realize that they have sold what they can sell at that price point with the GamePad packed in..
 

mrklaw

MrArseFace
They probably have to be careful with what they say. If their US numbers are higher than Microsoft's, do they counter? So on. They'll say something.

I almost want them to have won in the US by 1k units. Firstly because it would just be entertaining. But secondly it would prove beyond doubt that MS PR for NPD has been some of the most deviously worded ever.
 
D

Deleted member 17706

Unconfirmed Member
I feel like there needs to be some perspective here. It would mean they couldn't plausibly win the generation, but the overall stats for XBO still paint it as a very healthy console on track to outsell the X360 worldwide. I don't think "fucked" would be a fair way to describe the situation they're in, except in the very narrow sense that their ability to come first place would be torpedoed. PS4 and XBO are both seemingly filling the void left by the WiiU's total failure to follow-up on the Wii's success.

I thought Sony GAF of all people should be used to explaining how the PSP wasn't an overall failure just because the DS was a mega-success.

( ͡°╭͜ʖ╮͡° )

Seriously. I hate this narrative where there has to be some big loser.
 
from predictions thread

2731079-13+-+1.gif

rolf this gif was never more relevant
 
In trouble of what, exactly?

Counting the value of bundled games, the XBO was effectively going for below $300 within a year of its launch at $500. That's a 40 % price drop in one year. This drop was meant to be temporary, and was designed to propel the XBO into making up a sizeable part of its sales deficit to the PS4. If all they managed was a 10k win, they ate all that lost money and devalued the value of their product in the eyes of the consumers (it will be very difficult for them to take the price back up to $399) for practically nothing.

With how the exclusives situation is looking for the first half of next year, Xbox could be in for a bloodbath all the way until Tomb Raider releases.

Still, if you ignore how incredibly well the PS4 is doing, when all is said and done, the XBO will still have done pretty well this gen. But they will end up far below the expectations they had before launch.
 
Let me tell you something you already know. The world isn't all sunshine and rainbows. It will beat you to your knees if you let it. Nobody is gonna hit as hard as life. But it ain't about how hard you're hit. It's about how hard you can get hit and keep moving forward.

That's how winning is done!
 

chadboban

Member
Wii U sales make me sad. They should've come out with much better BF deals. Most Nintendo can hope for is that it's profitable in the end.
Nintendo's software sales seem to be good with Smash Bros and Pokemon ORAS.
Amiibos seemed to sell well too although I don't know if they met Nintendo's expectations.
New 3DS should've been released everywhere this year, that much is clear.
Hearing how good Dragon Age is and not seeing it chart is concerning, although, I'm guessing it's not too far behind the top ten.
Far Cry 4 seems to have done well.
I am happy for PS4 and XB1 hardware sales though.
 
I feel like there needs to be some perspective here. It would mean they couldn't plausibly win the generation, but the overall stats for XBO still paint it as a very healthy console on track to outsell the X360 worldwide. I don't think "fucked" would be a fair way to describe the situation they're in, except in the very narrow sense that their ability to come first place would be torpedoed. PS4 and XBO are both seemingly filling the void left by the WiiU's total failure to follow-up on the Wii's success.

I thought Sony GAF of all people should be used to explaining how the PSP wasn't an overall failure just because the DS was a mega-success.

( ͡°╭͜ʖ╮͡° )

One of the very few logical things that will be said in this thread tonight.
 

RowdyReverb

Member
I feel like there needs to be some perspective here. It would mean they couldn't plausibly win the generation, but the overall stats for XBO still paint it as a very healthy console on track to outsell the X360 worldwide. I don't think "fucked" would be a fair way to describe the situation they're in, except in the very narrow sense that their ability to come first place would be torpedoed. PS4 and XBO are both seemingly filling the void left by the WiiU's total failure to follow-up on the Wii's success.

I thought Sony GAF of all people should be used to explaining how the PSP wasn't an overall failure just because the DS was a mega-success.

( ͡°╭͜ʖ╮͡° )

People are acting like this is a defeat or hollow victory, but if I was MS, I'd consider keeping pace with the PS4 a win. It's a massive success, so their goal isn't to beat it necessarily, but to replicate that success.
 

Plinko

Wildcard berths that can't beat teams without a winning record should have homefield advantage
Wow at Amiibo selling about the same as Smash Bros. That's huge.
 
I feel like there needs to be some perspective here. It would mean they couldn't plausibly win the generation, but the overall stats for XBO still paint it as a very healthy console on track to outsell the X360 worldwide. I don't think "fucked" would be a fair way to describe the situation they're in, except in the very narrow sense that their ability to come first place would be torpedoed. PS4 and XBO are both seemingly filling the void left by the WiiU's total failure to follow-up on the Wii's success.

I thought Sony GAF of all people should be used to explaining how the PSP wasn't an overall failure just because the DS was a mega-success.

( ͡°╭͜ʖ╮͡° )

I agree with this as a PS4 fanboy. X1 is doing well, I'm happy for MS.


I really wish MS and Nintendo were in each other's places right now.
 
What does Sony say in a situation like this?

Well, we didn't have the top selling hardware this month, but we still did pretty good!

Of course they would never say that verbatim, but i imagine that would essentially be their message...?
 

mrklaw

MrArseFace
MS talking about UK in an NPD report, no full PR yet we got one in october, nothing from Greenberg you know that win wasn't that solid. That's without taking Cboat's whispers into account. Doesn't sound like that are too happy with the situation even though they obviously increased their marketshare quite a bit but don't close the current gap. Looks like Sony could win December this year with enough stock and some offers to combat the XB1 $329 bundle.



When has he ever posted evidence apart from things like sharing screenshots looool.

Greenberg is in the UK at the moment, so time zones may make commenting trickier
 

keit4

Banned
I feel like there needs to be some perspective here. It would mean they couldn't plausibly win the generation, but the overall stats for XBO still paint it as a very healthy console on track to outsell the X360 worldwide. I don't think "fucked" would be a fair way to describe the situation they're in, except in the very narrow sense that their ability to come first place would be torpedoed. PS4 and XBO are both seemingly filling the void left by the WiiU's total failure to follow-up on the Wii's success.

I thought Sony GAF of all people should be used to explaining how the PSP wasn't an overall failure just because the DS was a mega-success.

( ͡°╭͜ʖ╮͡° )

Great post.
 
I feel like there needs to be some perspective here. It would mean they couldn't plausibly win the generation, but the overall stats for XBO still paint it as a very healthy console on track to outsell the X360 worldwide. I don't think "fucked" would be a fair way to describe the situation they're in, except in the very narrow sense that their ability to come first place would be torpedoed. PS4 and XBO are both seemingly filling the void left by the WiiU's total failure to follow-up on the Wii's success.

I thought Sony GAF of all people should be used to explaining how the PSP wasn't an overall failure just because the DS was a mega-success.

( ͡°╭͜ʖ╮͡° )

bu bu bu but console warz! /s

Glad for both companies. Winning by selling more consoles is more important for pleasing the fanbase than it is to do well commercially. Both companies did well this time around.

Jesus, let me use a another term for you - They won the battle but are losing the war. This is not a viable sustainable strategy to sell Xbox One. The victory cost more than it was worth cause the result was so abysmal considering the effort put in. This NPD could probably be used as a definition of a Pyrrhic victory in a dictionary.

They sold likely 1 million XBOs, pleased the fanbase while likely convincing mainstream gamers who look at IGN and nothing else that they're not just a second place console, and recovered sales wise faster than PS3 did (afaik). If the fanbase didn't give a fuck about who was selling faster or just didn't know at all, MS wouldn't care as long as it sold moderately well, which it is.
 

Lucreto

Member
The only thing that can make this thread explode further would be Sony actually won because Microsoft combined the US and UK in the NPD statement.
 
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