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Official June 2007 NPD Prediction Thread

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D

dammitmattt

Banned
Sho_Nuff82 said:
[NDS] 500,000
[WII] 380,000
[PSP] 245,000
[PS2] 200,000
[360] 185,000
[PS3] 95,000
[GBA] 90,000
[NGC] 5,000

Some software:

RE 4 Wii - 330k
Forza 2 - 275k
Tomb Raider PS2 - 250k
Mario Party 8 - 225k
DIRT - 200k
The Darkness 360 - 175k
Harry Potter 360 - 175k
Harry Potter Wii - 125k
Guitar Hero 2 360 - 125k
Ninja Gaiden Sigma - 100k
Spiderman 3 PS2 - 100k

Rainbow Six Vegas PS3 - 90k
Big Brain Academy Wii - 75k
Click to expand...

Wow if it's even close to that number....I just have no clue how the remake will sell....does anyone have the sales numbers for the first month of RE4 GC and/or PS2?
 
T

toxk_02

Black Republican
[NDS] 475,885
[WII] 405,901
[PSP] 251,107
[PS2] 201,554
[360] 178,278
[PS3] 98,112
[GBA] 85,735
[NGC] 9,945
 
J

jamesinclair

Banned
I was hoping the deadline would be extended, but here are my rushed, unscientific numbers.

[NDS] 495,000
[WII] 395,000
[PSP] 275,000
[PS2] 230,000
[360] 200,000
[PS3] 99,999
[GBA] 91,000
[NGC] 12,500


[XBX] 231
 
G

Grampa Simpson

Banned
[NDS] 500000
[WII] 400000
[PSP] 250000
[PS2] 225000
[360] 175000
[PS3] 90000
[GBA] 90000
[NGC] 11000

Lets see if I suck at this less than I did last month.
 
apotema

apotema

Member
[NDS] 497,000
[WII] 368,000
[PSP] 246,000
[PS2] 188,000
[360] 185,000
[PS3] 113,000
[GBA] 91,000
[NGC] 11,750
 
G

GhaleonEB

Member
Odysseus said:
yeah.... the six months got reduced to one. thanks to whomever did that. all for trusting a gaffer and posting a bishoptl gif. friggin gaffers.
Click to expand...
Nice to see you're back. I was worried you'd miss out on the holiday GAF fun.
 
D

Deku

Banned
[NDS] 500,000
[WII] 380,000
[PSP] 220,000
[PS2] 200,000
[360] 200,000
[PS3] 115,000
[GBA] 110,000
[NGC] 30,000
 
C

corez

Member
[NDS] 430,150
[WII] 360,278
[PSP] 250,120
[PS2] 185,765
[360] 160,932
[PS3] 109,604
[GBA] 80,554
[NGC] 12,728
 
C

Cheesemeister

Member
AniHawk said:
So if I change it, I can make two guesses?
Click to expand...

No, subsequent guesses overwrite previous ones. Since the parser is currently making some efforts to read non-conforming guesses, that's happening to you now. I'd like to turn off this extra handling so people can make software predictions without worrying about messing up their hardware predictions.

The program will download this thread at 4 pm Eastern today.
 
J

jrricky

Banned
My First Predictions....here we go....BAM!!!!:

[NDS] 450,000
[WII] 330,000
[PSP] 250,000
[PS2] 200,000
[360] 190,000
[GBA] 105,000
[PS3] 104,000
 
D

donny2112

Member
jamesinclair said:
I was hoping the deadline would be extended,
Click to expand...

It still might be, but don't count on it. The deadline is to try to beat the release of Canadian numbers for June, since they were a very useful barometer for U.S. sales in May. If those don't get released through Friday and most want the deadline extended, I'd be fine extending the deadline until Sunday at 4 p.m. EDT. As I said, just don't count on it. It is safest to assume that the deadline will not change from 4 p.m. EDT today.

Also, I'm currently the default winner of the software predictions, because I'm the only one who has done all the requirements for that. ;) Hint for those with software guesses: Make an overall software $ guess.
 
W

wotter

Member
My first attempt:

[NDS] 423,000
[WII] 390,000
[PSP] 237,000
[PS2] 225,000
[360] 175,000
[PS3] 97,000
[GBA] 82,000
[NGC] 11,000
 
A

argon

Member
Just a heads up, theSimExchange (video game prediction market) is supposed to get sales data this month for these games directly from NPD:

Forza 2 (X360)
Mario Party 8 (Wii)
The Darkness (X360)
The Darkness (PS3)
Pokemon Battle Revolution (Wii)
Big Brain Academy (Wii)
Transformers: The Game (PS2)
Transformers: The Game (X360)
Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix (PS2)
Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix (X360)

We should be able to use these numbers to estimate numerical sales for the full top 20 list, if we get them.
 
D

DayShallCome

Member
donny2112 said:
It still might be, but don't count on it. The deadline is to try to beat the release of Canadian numbers for June, since they were a very useful barometer for U.S. sales in May. If those don't get released through Friday and most want the deadline extended, I'd be fine extending the deadline until Sunday at 4 p.m. EDT. As I said, just don't count on it. It is safest to assume that the deadline will not change from 4 p.m. EDT today.

Also, I'm currently the default winner of the software predictions, because I'm the only one who has done all the requirements for that. ;) Hint for those with software guesses: Make an overall software $ guess.
Click to expand...

So are the numbers definitely not coming till the 23rd, then?
 
O

Orlics

Member
[NDS] 420,000
[WII] 340,000
[PSP] 230,000
[PS2] 167,000
[360] 150,000
[PS3] 78,000
[GBA] 80,000
[NGC] 9,000

conservative estimates ftw
 
D

donny2112

Member
argon said:
Just a heads up, theSimExchange (video game prediction market) is supposed to get sales data this month for these games directly from NPD:

Forza 2 (X360)
Mario Party 8 (Wii)
The Darkness (X360)
The Darkness (PS3)
Pokemon Battle Revolution (Wii)
Big Brain Academy (Wii)
Transformers: The Game (PS2)
Transformers: The Game (X360)
Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix (PS2)
Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix (X360)

We should be able to use these numbers to estimate numerical sales for the full top 20 list, if we get them.
Click to expand...

Can you post exactly what is being said? The SimExchange is big on that site's numbers, so they may be getting numbers from that site and assuming that that site's numbers are from NPD.

DayShallCome said:
So are the numbers definitely not coming till the 23rd, then?
Click to expand...

That's what Gamasutra said that Pachter said so probably not until the 23rd. :(
 
S

starship

psycho_snake's and The Black Brad Pitt's B*TCH
[NDS] 512,000
[WII] 413,000
[PSP] 234,000
[PS2] 221,000
[360] 183,000
[PS3] 106,000
[GBA] 98,000
[NGC] 11,000
 
S

starship

psycho_snake's and The Black Brad Pitt's B*TCH
For anyone missed the reason behind the delay:

NPD said:
As part of our ongoing effort to better serve clients and media partners, NPD will be implementing several changes to its production processes this month... In order to implement the changes, NPD will be shutting down its production system for 48 hours... While video games data was scheduled for delivery on Thursday July 19th, this month’s delivery will be delayed until Monday July 23rd.
Click to expand...
 
A

argon

Member
donny2112 said:
Can you post exactly what is being said? The SimExchange is big on that site's numbers, so they may be getting numbers from that site and assuming that that site's numbers are from NPD.
Click to expand...

The site's creator says its directly from NPD:

http://www.thesimexchange.com/blogpost.php?post_id=348

We are able to trade game futures once again because the NPD Group has kindly committed to providing us sales data for these games even if they do not make the Top 10, so you do not have to worry about a contract expiring at 0 DKP anymore.
Click to expand...
 
D

dirtmonkey37

flinging feces ---->
Speevy said:
PS3: 800,000 (Because the awesome showing at E3 retroactively affected sales)
PSP: 700,000 (Because the entire Wookie race bought one)
DS: 450,000
Wii: 375,000
PS2: 165,000
360: 140,000
Click to expand...

You can't be serious.
 
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