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CANADA NPD Sales Results for July 2007
- Thread starter sonycowboy
- Start date
Square2005
Banned
Wait, is Canada Day in June?Fuzzy said:Sure, if you look at the June US NPD numbers.
frankthurk
Member
pswii60 said:
Ahh, but what you are forgetting is that they will all be buying the new Halo themed 360s thus creating a huge sales spike anyway.
cat helmet
sonycowboy
Member
schuelma said:
agreed, it's a bit off topic, but it's not all that off base. Halo 2 sales did not cause a spike in Xbox sales despite selling ridiculously well day 1, month 1 and so forth.
The advantage the 360 has in this situation is:
Maybe some Halo gamers don't have a 360 yet, that is no Halo has sold this box yet
It's earlier in the generation, thus allowing single games to affect the installed base more
The 360 isn't as reliant on the one game as they've clearly got the best lineup for the reminder on the year, with the PS3 having some potentially great, but definitely unknown quantities out there.
sonycowboy said:
Oh I agree that its not completely off base, but I do think there is decent sized casual market that will jump in when Halo 3 releases. As big a spike as many xboxers think? I don't think so..but I do think there will be a spike if for no other reason than the massive massive public awareness Halo 3 will give to the console.
I don't expect a big jump but I think 50-100K increase in sales is possible.sonycowboy said:
The increase could also be the tail effect of the price cut/second heatsink that happened in August or in anticipation of Fall lineup (and not entirely due to Halo release).
schuelma said:
i wouldn't be surprised if august was the highest month before november (in terms of weekly averages). the one spoiler is the halo 360 sku, it might cause a few of the more insane variety to go out and buy the system all over again. i'm not a subscriber to the theory that everyone who wants halo 3 already has a 360, but i also don't subscribe to the theory that everyone without a 360 that wants halo 3 is going to jump in all at once as soon as the game ships. i think halo 3 has been selling consoles since day 1, and will continue to help sell consoles until day 2001. a 9/25 spike? minor.
AlphaSnake said:
With the PSP, I mean that they thought there were more units out there and that they would last until the PSP2000 comes out in September. Out of stock issues show that this is not the case.
With the PS3, it's a little more complicated. They say there is enough (there probably is) in the retail channel to last through the holidays. If they make the same mistake as the PSP with the out of stock situation, they may be at a point where a $500 version of the PS3 is not available this holiday season. I make the assumption that when stock is cleared of the 60GB models, they will be releasing an 80GB model sans MotorStorm for $500. The concern should be that they don't have consoles to sell at $500.
What's intesting is no 360 game so far has really caused a hardware sales spike, despite a long string of big debuts over the past year and a half. Sales have chugged along at a very predictable rate; even Nov-Dec last year were well within seasonality despite the smash Gears of War became.sonycowboy said:
But I suspect Halo 3 will be different, partly for the reasons you outlined above, and partly because there will be a combined effect with the price cut. September sales could be up substantially from last year. In fact, they'd better be, or Microsoft should be very, very worried.
GhaleonEB said:
i would comment on this to sort of agree with the first paragraph and provide more substance, but i don't feel like restating myself to that degree. so
http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=6553756&postcount=1153
http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=6554441&postcount=1171
http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=6555538&postcount=1188
http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=6556167&postcount=1218
sonycowboy
Member
moku said:
HW wise, we all know the Wii will rule, and while the triumvrate of Mario Galaxy, Super Smash Bros, & Metroid will be beyond fantastic, the sales crown for SW will go to Microsoft IMO. Halo 3, COD 4, Madden, Mass Effect, Bioshock, Assassin's Creed, Guitar Hero, Rock Band, Mercenaries 2 are all going to be quite heavy hitters for the 360. And then you add the HW price drop.
Not necessarily in Canada, of course, which continues to make this off-topic.
Hcoregamer00
The 'H' stands for hentai.
sonycowboy said:
That is very true, when talking about North America sales as a whole this is relevant, but Canada has traditionally taken their own path in the console wars.
driley said:
There will never be enough thanks from me (and us) to you if you managed to do that. I (and we) will wait patiently.
Parl said:
If your calculation reflect the actual US July NPD, my prediction rank could be at the bottom. However, I also think it is not likely (at least for Wii to sell only 262,400).
_Alkaline_
Member
lol at next-gen
apujanata said:
Sonycowboy, be sure to remind me the next time we comm. so that I can get these for your readers. No guarantees but I don't think Canada will raise too much of a stink. This is something we don't mind providing on occasion. Folks, remember that we cannot give away the bank but with so many developers on here, I see the value in occasionally providing more than the standard "feed" to gaffers.
plagiarize
Banned
more jumping the gun.Dahbomb said:
price drops generally cause sale spikes that slow down in following months (i'm not saying sales return to what they were before, i'm just saying that the month of a price drop is almost always bigger than the month after it, barring things like holidays and such).
the PS3 only beat the 360 by a small margin.
the 360 dropped price in August.
it'll be a few months before we find out what effect these price drops have had on the long term sales of the systems.
it's plausible that the ps3 could be on top once everything shakes down for this round of price drops, but less likely than the 360 continuing to outsell it after it's own sales spike cools.
sonycowboy
Member
plagiarize said:
With the price drop, a superior Madden, and Bioshock, I think the victory (if it exists) will be very short lived for the PS3. And forget about the rest of the year. The gap is going to widen for the short term. At this point, Sony's going to have to focus on riding out 2007 and having the heavy hitters in early 2008 be truly great.
Square2005
Banned
It's probably just like the U.S. Labor Day: a three day weekend at the beginning of September. Three day weekends always boost sales...Parl said:
titiklabingapat
Member
Re: Sony comeback
You know that much publicized the Ps3 being number one on Amazon stuff a month ago? It's all but disappeared now while the Wii continues to command the top spot.
Using that as a general trendline, I expect PS3 for August to be 25% less than July's results with September possibly back down under 100k.
You know that much publicized the Ps3 being number one on Amazon stuff a month ago? It's all but disappeared now while the Wii continues to command the top spot.
Using that as a general trendline, I expect PS3 for August to be 25% less than July's results with September possibly back down under 100k.
Do I have to smack you down for not knowing what you're talking about also? You're only have right, so many babies are born on Labour Day because of the amount of time after Valentine's Day but your math is off. Pregnancies don't last 9 months in Canada, they're only 7 months (Feb-Sept).Odysseus said:
Jon_Danger said:
Based entirely on anecdotal evidence and my own personal experience, I think the Wii is slowing down faster in Canada than the U.S... I keep hearing it's still nigh-impossible to find in the States, while I've seen them countless times now on store shelves here.
I'm sure they still come in and sell out, but I'm guessing it happens over the course of hours/days rather than a morning. I wouldn't be surprised if Nintendo has eased supply a little bit to get more into retail in the U.S.
sonycowboy
Member
donny2112 said:
I still haven't seen one on shelves since the holidays. And I look. Not constantly but whenever I'm in stores, which is quite often.