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November 2014 NPD (U.S. Hardware) Predictions - Closes December 9th

Ledhead

Member
Xbox leading in sales was to be expected. Honestly, had they lost in November, I can't think of what they might have had to do to knock PS4 off the sales charts.
 

RexNovis

Banned
damn

g8gKg9L.png

Well as much as I wanted the information from my friends back home to be an accurate reflection of the market as a whole, it was unarguably the safe bet to have MS on top this NPD. Discounting your console $75 below competition and bundling two games with $50 in store credit values the console at around $200. If they didn't see a win from that they would be been up the infamous creek without a paddle. But for now they are safe.

That said I doubt the sales difference between consoles is as cast as many are making it out to bein betting it's less than or equal to 200k.

The real question at this point is will MS continue with these discounts in January or will they eliminate the bundled games or bump the price back up? If they do sales are sure to drop like a rock.

Edit:

Kagari just tweeted Xbone won by 10k only... I'm guessing joke tweet?

Wow. holy shit. Yea that is not a good sign for MS. With the sales differential being that low with those heavy discounts they stand basically zero chance of making up any ground towards the existing sales gap. Holy hell that's way lower than what I would've even thought. I was thinking around 90k. Yeesh
 
Maybe we are reading CBOAT wrong and 10k is actually the LTD gap between the PS4 and XB1 after the XB1 rallied in November.... RIGHT?


Because I think that is actually more believable then MS only having a 10k lead in November after a $70 price cut. Bundling 2 free games, having far and away the best selection of bundles and in store offers and gift cards.


I mean the PS4 had basically nothing to bundle beacuse MS tied so many games down. Is GTA just that damn big?
 
FMPredictions.

PS4 and XBO outperformed my expectations given Callahan's statement.

Meanwhile, thanks Wii U. Probably even cost me the ordering bonus. Bleh.
 

kswiston

Member
Maybe we are reading CBOAT wrong and 10k is actually the LTD gap between the PS4 and XB1 after the XB1 rallied in November.... RIGHT?


Because I think that is actually more believable then MS only having a 10k lead after a $70 price cut. Bundling 2 free games, having far and away the best selection of bundles and in store offers and gift cards.

How would the overall gap be 10k? Weren't they behind around 1M units as of the end of October? Microsoft would have to have sold like 1.75-2M units in November (going by what consoles typically sell in November) for that to be true.
 

Drac84

Member
It's encouraging to see ACU and MCC down the bottom of the top-ten (bundles notwithstanding), and hopefully sends a warning shot to publishers that broken games won't be accepted by the market any more.
 

DBT85

Member
Maybe we are reading CBOAT wrong and 10k is actually the LTD gap between the PS4 and XB1 after the XB1 rallied in November.... RIGHT?


Because I think that is actually more believable then MS only having a 10k lead in November after a $70 price cut. Bundling 2 free games, having far and away the best selection of bundles and in store offers and gift cards.


I mean the PS4 had basically nothing to bundle beacuse MS tied so many games down. Is GTA just that damn big?

Yep. MS sold 1.09m consoles more than Sony in November.
 
How did DA:I not chart?

Not enough commercials that started with "From the makers of Mass Effect..." obviously.

I think the part I bolded might be the problem. There was enough outcry to get Bioware to change the ending so I'm guessing that people still remember that.

That or the Bioware crowd haven't moved to the new console generation yet.
 
Xbox leading in sales was to be expected. Honestly, had they lost in November, I can't think of what they might have had to do to knock PS4 off the sales charts.
The question now is if that was only US, UK, or both. MS's presser combined US and UK to make that "best-selling" comment. If the split between XBO and PS4 was really as small as CBOAT said, there's a chance they lost one of those markets....

...and I'm thinking it's the U.S. Why combine UK sales for a NA NPD? Think about that...
 

Superman00

Liverpool01
Gen is up almost 80%, so the combined numbers are ~2M very roughly for November. Link is in the NPD OP.

Seems like majority of that 80% increase is from PS4.

Numbers from Mpl90:

360 13 months total: ~3,399.8K
PS3 13 months total: ~ 2,447.2K

One 13 months total: ~3700K + 1240K(simple estimate for Nov) = ~ 4940K % ~3400 = 45% increase
PS4 13 months total: ~4800K + 840K(simple estimate for Nov) = ~ 5640K % ~2447 = 130% increase

Just rough estimates, but PS4 is doing way better. Basically about the combine sale of 360 + PS3 first 13 months total.
 
And mine....

-------------------------

Amazon December 2014:

http://www.amazon.com/gp/bestsellers/2014-12/videogames/

1. Xbox One + AC
40. PS4
54. PS4 + GTA + TLOU

Xbox One probably already has the number 1 installed based for next-gen consoles in the United States by now.

The age of Sony is done.

whoa now, let's not get TOO crazy, they'll probably just whittle off another giant chunk of the lead heading into 2015

Huh? I was under the impression their silence did exactly the opposite. There was no preemptive PR this month, which in previous months was a sign PS4 was #1.
lack of Black Friday PR, not lack of early NPD PR
 
allan-bh's are pretty close to ours.

Some dark horse is gonna take the prize in the final stretch by being wildly optimistic.

you three are the ones in front of me, time to check what you guys put....

(and if 360>Wii U, 10 points I just threw away)

[360] 285k
[3DS] 500k
[PS3] 150k
[PS4] 790k
[WIU] 310k
[XB1] 830k

[360] 332K
[3DS] 555K
[PS3] 222K
[PS4] 777K
[WIU] 333K
[XB1] 888K

There had better be black friday press releases with numbers next week.

[XB1] 832K
[PS4] 787K
[3DS] 481K
[WIU] 308K
[360] 289K
[PS3] 135K

Road please why do we have all of next-gen consoles in common :p
 
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